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Trend prediction of public opinion propagation based on parameter inversion — an empirical study on Sina micro-blog
LIU Qiaoling, LI Jin, XIAO Renbin
Journal of Computer Applications    2017, 37 (5): 1419-1423.   DOI: 10.11772/j.issn.1001-9081.2017.05.1419
Abstract806)      PDF (790KB)(544)       Save
Concerning that the existing researches on public opinion propagation model are seldom combined with the practical opinion data and digging out the inherent law of public opinion propagation from the opinion big data is becoming an urgent problem, a parameter inversion algorithm of public opinion propagation model using neural network was proposed based on the practical opinion big data. A network opinion propagation model was constructed by improving the classical disease spreading Susceptible-Infective-Recovered (SIR) model. Based on this model, the parameter inversion algorithm was used to predict the network public opinion's trend of actual cases. The proposed algorithm could accurately predict the specific heat value of public opinion compared with Markov prediction model.The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has certain superiority in prediction and can be used for data fitting, process simulation and trend prediction of network emergency spreading.
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